C Car Depreciation
Lexus · sedan · luxury

Lexus ES Depreciation Calculator

Calculate the Lexus ES depreciation rate by year, mileage, and country — with accident-history adjustments and a year-by-year depreciation chart.

The Lexus ES is a near-luxury midsize sedan sharing its platform with the Toyota Avalon/Camry, valued for its smooth ride, bulletproof reliability, and hybrid efficiency. Its Lexus badge and Toyota underpinnings give it above-average resale for the entry-luxury sedan class, retaining roughly 55% of MSRP after 5 years — better than most German rivals.

1-year depreciation
18%
5-year retention
55%
MSRP
$43,190–$53k
Avg mi / year
12,500

Depreciation inputs

Depreciation during your 5-year ownership
$21,737
-45%
Value at purchase
$48,305
Brand new
Value when you sell
$26,568
5y / 60,000 mi
Depreciation / year
$4,347
Depreciation / mi
$0.36
XZ10
7th generation · started 2019

Current generation — no successor has launched yet.

Depreciation curve · your ownership window

BuySell

Year-by-year depreciation

Depreciation rate per year, based on an MSRP of $48,305

Age Value % Retained Annual depreciation
New $48,305 100%
Year 1 $39,610 82% -$8,695 (18%)
Year 2 $35,263 73% -$4,347 (11%)
Year 3 $31,881 66% -$3,382 (9.6%)
Year 4 $28,983 60% -$2,898 (9.1%)
Year 5 $26,568 55% -$2,415 (8.3%)
Year 6 $24,153 50% -$2,415 (9.1%)
Year 7 $21,737 45% -$2,416 (10%)
Year 8 $19,805 41% -$1,932 (8.9%)
Year 9 $17,873 37% -$1,932 (9.8%)
Year 10 $15,941 33% -$1,932 (10.8%)

Lexus ES depreciation by country

The same car depreciates at different rates in different markets. Here's how the Lexus ES depreciation rate changes across the seven major markets we track.

🇺🇸
United States
Baseline

Baseline market and the ES's strongest region. Hybrid 300h variants hold value particularly well, and the ES routinely ranks among the top entry-luxury sedans for 5-year retention.

Currency: USD Unit: mi
🇨🇦
Canada
+2% retention

AWD ES 250 demand is strong in Canada due to winter conditions, propping up resale values. Hybrids also benefit from fuel-price sensitivity and depreciate slower than the US average.

Currency: CAD Unit: km
🇬🇧
United Kingdom
-10% retention

The ES replaced the GS in the UK lineup but sits in a niche dominated by the BMW 5 Series and Mercedes E-Class. Hybrid-only availability helps in urban ULEZ zones but limited dealer footprint softens residuals.

Currency: GBP Unit: mi
🇪🇺
Europe
-13% retention

European buyers favor German executive sedans, so ES depreciation runs steeper. The ES 300h's low CO2 rating helps in company-car markets like the Netherlands but volumes remain small.

Currency: EUR Unit: km
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
+10% retention

The ES is a top-selling Lexus in Saudi Arabia, prized for comfort and reliability in extreme heat. ES 350 V6 models retain exceptional value thanks to enduring demand in the executive and chauffeur segments.

Currency: SAR Unit: km
🇮🇳
India
-7% retention

Sold exclusively as the ES 300h hybrid and taxed heavily on import. Resale is strong among a small luxury-buyer pool but limited service network outside metros softens private-sale values.

Currency: INR Unit: km
🇦🇺
Australia
-4% retention

The ES is a steady seller in Australia's premium sedan segment, with the hybrid accounting for most volume. Lexus's reputation for reliability and strong dealer support keeps resale above German rivals.

Currency: AUD Unit: km

Lexus ES depreciation after an accident

An accident on a vehicle's history permanently increases its depreciation rate, even after perfect repairs. Here's how much extra depreciation each severity level adds to a Lexus ES.

Minor accident
+8% depreciation

Paintwork, bumper scuffs, non-structural repairs. Disclosed on history reports but limited resale impact.

Moderate accident
+18% depreciation

Panel replacement, airbag deployment, meaningful CARFAX entry. Significantly accelerates depreciation.

Major accident
+33% depreciation

Frame damage, flood, salvage title. Permanent depreciation hit even after full restoration.

This "diminished value" is the extra depreciation a car carries after an accident. Insurance rarely reimburses it — our calculator bakes it into every depreciation estimate.

Lexus ES FAQ

How much does a Lexus ES depreciate per year?
A new Lexus ES loses about 18% of its value in the first year, then roughly 7–9% each year after. By year 5, the ES typically retains around 55% of its original MSRP — notably better than BMW 5 Series or Audi A6 rivals which often dip below 45%.
What is a Lexus ES worth after 5 years?
A Lexus ES 350 purchased new for $45,000 is typically worth around $24,750 after 5 years at average mileage (about 62,500 miles). The ES 300h Hybrid tends to hold an additional 3–5% premium, often fetching $26,000–$27,500 in the same timeframe.
Does the ES Hybrid depreciate slower than the gas ES 350?
Yes. The ES 300h retains roughly 3–5% more of its value at the 5-year mark than the gas ES 350, driven by fuel-cost anxiety and strong used demand for Lexus hybrids. The hybrid premium of about $1,500 new is usually fully recouped at resale.
How does mileage affect Lexus ES depreciation?
Each mile driven reduces ES value by roughly $0.010, one of the lowest rates in its class due to the ES's reputation for longevity. Cars under the 12,500/year average can command a 5–8% premium, while 100,000+ mile examples depreciate faster but plateau thanks to strong Lexus reliability perception.
How much does an accident reduce a Lexus ES's resale value?
A minor accident with clean repair typically reduces ES resale by about 8%, a moderate accident by around 18%, and a major structural accident by 33% or more. Luxury buyers are especially sensitive to Carfax history, so even documented minor incidents can disproportionately impact private-party pricing.

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